War in Ukraine

[mzmc]

It's being reported that 54% of Russian casualties involve an amputation of some type.  Not only will that have a long-term effect on the country (mainly in long-term medical care costs), but it also limits the ability of injured soldiers to return to active duty after recovery.  It also makes me wonder if this is a result of poor medical facilities on the front lines which are unable to provide less drastic care for limb injuries.

https://news.yahoo.com/russia-says-glaring-issue-more-161239369.html

This war sees excessive use of two things:

• land mines (with neither side being a signatory of any international convention restricting their use)
• Soviet era artillery

So I'm not surprised in the least.

[Uomo Senza Nome]

A number of events from Russia in last few days:

"Russia has secretly placed four MiG-31 aircraft and a total of 10 Su-27 and Su-30 machines on Crimea"

They also redeployed hypersonic CM capable subs to the area.

This is likely a strike package to attempt to take down PATRIOT and ATACMS systems. They also might be there to stop the Uke's incursion over the river yesterday. The Ukes appear to be picking up steam and the Russian deterioration accelerating.  SU30s are their newer ground strike fighters. It will be interesting to see what level of success they have. 

The increased fighting has led to average Russian Casualties of a battalion of tanks a day and 2 battalions of Infantry over the past three days. They are also believed to have lost 14 helicopters in the initial ATACMS volley.

Russia has stopped exporting the small quantities of gasoline that it was exporting. The US SPR is now down to 17 days with no plan to replenish it. Remember COVID when they were paying you to haul it away? And certain people said they didn't want to take it because it was a "gift" to big oil? I remember.
 

[Uomo Senza Nome]

Unable to top the altitude death of the former Wagner Chief who fell from a highest altitude of any Putin enemy ever, Anti-war activist Olga Nazarenko fell from an undisclosed height and died.

The Army is raiding prisons again for the meat grinder. But in a new twist; "On Friday, Russian riot police raided a mosque in a Moscow commuter town and forced the men to join the army. " I only have single source reporting on that but if true would appear to be a clear warning to Muslims not to protest. Raiding a mosque on a worship day is bound to enrage the locals however.


Oh and



"Oh, Crimea Is Not Russia? Nice." - How a Russian Embassy Accidently Made a Pro-Ukrainian Map of the World - The Net Worth Of

[majorhavoc]

A gentle reminder to cite your source if you are quoting from somewhere in your posts.

[Uomo Senza Nome]

A gentle reminder to cite your source if you are quoting from somewhere in your posts.

Near as I can figure the source begins here, and was picked up by the Telegraph.


Russian anti-war activist dies after 'fall from height' (eseuro.com)

Seems a little Janky to me, you would think if Russia actually did that there would be a lot more people upset and a few cell phone videos out there.

[Uomo Senza Nome]

In a strange turn about the Israeli Economic Minister threatened to wipe Iran and Lebanon off the face of the Earth if Hezbollah attacks. Normally this is the other way around.

Israeli Official Threatens to Wipe Iran, Lebanon Off the Face of the Earth (newsweek.com)

[Raptor]

In a strange turn about the Israeli Economic Minister threatened to wipe Iran and Lebanon off the face of the Earth if Hezbollah attacks. Normally this is the other way around.

Israeli Official Threatens to Wipe Iran, Lebanon Off the Face of the Earth (newsweek.com)

Is Israel has already sortied its submarines. They are of course not nukes but two are designed to stay at sea submerged using AIP equipment for "extended" periods of time. They may or may not be carrying nuclear cruise missiles ( Popeye Turbo SLCM ) . They of course maintain a policy of deliberate ambiguity on the matter of whether or not they actually have the estimated 200 to 400 nuclear weapons that some sources say they may or may not have on hand. Some are air dropped and others delivered by short to medium rang ballistic missiles.    

https://defence-blog.com/israel-deploys-submarines-amid-rising-tensions-with-iran/
Iran meanwhile likely has the nuclear material needed to produce nuclear weapons as well as ballistic missiles to deliver these weapons. They have consistently said they have the expertise to do so but chose not to do so ... all the while producing nuclear material. 

That and saying they may launch a pre-emptive strike.

https://nypost.com/2023/10/17/iran-warns-preemptive-action-against-israel-expected-in-coming-hours-by-resistance-front/

[aikorob]

It's being reported that 54% of Russian casualties involve an amputation of some type.  Not only will that have a long-term effect on the country (mainly in long-term medical care costs), but it also limits the ability of injured soldiers to return to active duty after recovery.  It also makes me wonder if this is a result of poor medical facilities on the front lines which are unable to provide less drastic care for limb injuries.

https://news.yahoo.com/russia-says-glaring-issue-more-161239369.html

The accommodation in most of Ukraine for disabilities (esp. wheelchairs) ranges from non-existent to missing............I am told Russia is worse

[EBuff75]

Lukoil, Russia's second-largest oil company, said Tuesday its chairman had died suddenly, at the age of 66.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/24/business/lukoil-chairman-nekrasov-dies/index.html

Not sure that I'd want to be a high-ranking executive in Russia right now.  They're saying that his death was due to "acute heart failure," which is probably better than "sudden sidewalk deceleration after falling out of a window" that appears to be endemic in Russia lately...

[Uomo Senza Nome]

Lukoil, Russia's second-largest oil company, said Tuesday its chairman had died suddenly, at the age of 66.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/24/business/lukoil-chairman-nekrasov-dies/index.html

Not sure that I'd want to be a high-ranking executive in Russia right now.  They're saying that his death was due to "acute heart failure," which is probably better than "sudden sidewalk deceleration after falling out of a window" that appears to be endemic in Russia lately...

The weird thing is that all the engineers who brought up that so many people dying from falling out of a window was suspicious, also died falling out of windows. You would think they would know better.

[EBuff75]

Lukoil, Russia's second-largest oil company, said Tuesday its chairman had died suddenly, at the age of 66.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/24/business/lukoil-chairman-nekrasov-dies/index.html

Not sure that I'd want to be a high-ranking executive in Russia right now.  They're saying that his death was due to "acute heart failure," which is probably better than "sudden sidewalk deceleration after falling out of a window" that appears to be endemic in Russia lately...

The weird thing is that all the engineers who brought up that so many people dying from falling out of a window was suspicious, also died falling out of windows. You would think they would know better.

Maybe there's just an epidemic of shoddy window glazing in Russia and all these people were just leaning on them while looking outside!

[majorhavoc]

Lukoil, Russia's second-largest oil company, said Tuesday its chairman had died suddenly, at the age of 66.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/24/business/lukoil-chairman-nekrasov-dies/index.html

Not sure that I'd want to be a high-ranking executive in Russia right now.  They're saying that his death was due to "acute heart failure," which is probably better than "sudden sidewalk deceleration after falling out of a window" that appears to be endemic in Russia lately...

The weird thing is that all the engineers who brought up that so many people dying from falling out of a window was suspicious, also died falling out of windows. You would think they would know better.

Maybe there's just an epidemic of shoddy window glazing in Russia and all these people were just leaning on them while looking outside!

And unexpectedly strong wind gusts when Russian oligarchs wander onto balconies for a bit of fresh air. Usually at night, with Ava Maria playing in the background. 

[Raptor]

In the Soviet Union these folks would have died from a sudden stroke or aneurism, induced by acute copper/lead poisoning.  

[Uomo Senza Nome]

Poorly sourced reports are stating that Putin is in a Cardiac Care unit with a poor prognosis after suffering a heart attack two nights ago. While possible I remain skeptical. This is awfully specific condition reporting without any supporting details. If true it could move the war closer to closure if Putin kicks. It is however the same sources that keep reporting how Putin is facing an overthrow from his inner circle or has some weird disease. Putin is famously quite healthy but the stress of fighting a war that is impossible to win can be telling.


'Plugged Into Machines': Vladimir Putin in 'Stable but Serious Condition' and Doctors Are 'Not Optimistic' After Alleged Heart Attack, Sources Claim (msn.com)

[Uomo Senza Nome]

The Russian Black Sea fleet has left Crimea after losing another ship or having it badly damaged.

 The Russian fleet is withdrawing from Crimea. It may already be too late (msn.com) 

Another Russian ship may have exploded in Sevastopol: Details (msn.com)

After the destruction of 10-20 aircraft on the ground Russia ceases air attacks for the moment.

Anomalies in conflict. Russian aviation suspends attacks on Ukraine (msn.com)

[Uomo Senza Nome]

Russia want to talk. From roughly the same stance they held 18 months ago.

Russia Finally 'Ready' for Ukraine Peace Talks (msn.com)

[majorhavoc]

Russians set up GPS jammer in Ukraine.  Ukrainians promptly blew it up ... with a GPS guided bomb
Russians set up GPS jammer in Ukraine.  Ukrainians promptly blew it up ... with a GPS guided bomb

[Uomo Senza Nome]

Zelinsky says peace in our time only our terms.

Zelensky Reveals Key Conditions for Ceasefire With Russia (msn.com)

[Raptor]

Russians set up GPS jammer in Ukraine.  Ukrainians promptly blew it up ... with a GPS guided bomb
Russians set up GPS jammer in Ukraine.  Ukrainians promptly blew it up ... with a GPS guided bomb

I am old. I remember when GPS first was to be deployed..the Transit system was in use...the fear was that some conflict somewhere would make the US dither the signal worldwide secretly to disrupt such ops. In fact the original systems were purposely made less accurate unless you had a DOD reciever.

That of course changed once the USSR/Russia started putting up thier own systems.

Now I believe there are 3 independent GPS systems with others planned.

How is this relevant? Jamming GPS signals at a distance (15+miles)  is hard to do. Certainly it is possible
especially as you get closer to the transmitter like the GPS unit on the bomb would have to do to work.
Also modern high end GPS receivers have the ability to recognize and to some extent filter the real signal.

That said optically guided and laser guided munitions are pretty ubiquitous and I suspect something like that may have been in play. I suspect the claim that it was GPS guided is simply disinformation. Especially if there was a ground team using a laser illuminator, then again who knows. Certainly not me.

[MacWa77ace]

IIRC they were dithered until competitive systems made the US govt release the precise info on GPS.
https://adst.org/2020/02/the-un-dithering-releasing-reliable-gps-to-the-public/

There is ordinance that uses GPS and radar to navigate 'map of the earth' below radar, and then switches to TV guided or laser for the 'final mile' which is mostly unjammable.
https://navalpost.com/how-tomahawk-missile-find-its-target/